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Market Updates

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December 5, 2022

Some of the key macro lessons of 2022 concern protectionism, state subsidies and budget deficits. Plus history suggests that current monetary tightening is on course to follow post-war deflation patterns, and the U.S. may be facing its own energy crisis this winter.

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November 28, 2022

Despite popular narratives, the U.S. is still the top destination for foreign direct investment. Plus, as we look to 2023, we believe conditions are coming together for forward returns to improve, and a look at the stealth quantitative tightening that's been going on since December 2021.

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November 21, 2022

Demographic changes in coming years should have long-term implications for the global economy and markets. Plus we expect risk asset rallies to remain on shaky ground until signs of an upturn in the global economic outlook emerge, and COP27 brings slow progress in the right direction.

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November 14, 2022

Incoming data suggest financial stress is spreading from markets primarily affected by interest rate volatility to areas impacted by deteriorating credit quality. Plus 10 key facts about U.S. government finances, and a trend in Brazil's fiscal accounts that is considered unsustainable.

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November 7, 2022

The consumer is still strong, but headwinds are building. Plus economic data is still mixed, but with a negative tilt, and the prospect of a Great Wall Of Pain if China “closes."

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October 31, 2022

The U.S. economy confronts a structural worker deficit only accelerating the substitution of labor for capital. Plus Treasurys are at the epicenter of brewing financial market stress, and the equity market will likely see more volatility.

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