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Market Updates

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July 8, 2024

Indicators for the labor market are already cooling, and its strength will be key to monetary policy in coming quarters. Plus concentration risk for both earnings and Equity performance are key to watch, and the nexus between big data and big energy supports America's global competitiveness.

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July 1, 2024

We can expect developments on the election, the economy and policy to turn the temperature up for U.S. equities, while caution is still warranted for European equities. Plus we're watching whether the labor market continues to support healthy consumer activity.

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June 24, 2024

Earnings revisions have bolstered global profits expectations and the case for risk assets, and an uptick in stock split announcements could potentially act as another tailwind for Equities this year. Plus ten reasons for optimism on America's birthday.

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June 17, 2024

Think of the U.S. dollar as a leading indicator as to how investors are assessing risks associated with the November election. Plus higher-for-longer interest rates risk exacerbating fiscal imbalances, and there are measures to reduce the pressures spiraling deficits put on monetary policy.

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June 10, 2024

In terms of commerce, the U.S. and China are still in bed together, but dream of a future more independent from one other. Plus assessing the global election cycle halfway through 2024, and sticky inflation has weighed on consumer sentiment and central bank policy.

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June 3, 2024

Improving earnings, “better-than-feared" inflation and increased expectations for monetary easing acted as market supports in May. Plus the interest rate differential is likely to continue to favor the dollar, and how much more can the world import from China?

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May 28, 2024

A world more squib than oyster could put at risk the global earnings and future profitability of many U.S. multinationals. Plus, a more mixed economy is likely to add to the dynamism of the U.S., and some good news for now but trouble ahead for Social Security.

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May 20, 2024

In this issue: With inflation stubbornly high, the term “stagflation" has been resurrected as a risk for the U.S. economy. Plus the U.S.-led liberal economic order of the post-war era is shifting, and two key variables have been energizing the labor market.

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May 13, 2024

Why U.S. equity markets are less volatile during periods of elevated global conflict. Plus one of the major market trends of recent years has been relative resilience of Emerging Market currencies, and the advent of the next technological revolution.

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May 6, 2024

We identify five things investors should know about energy projects looking to be hooked up to the U.S. power grid, present three high-conviction themes and strategies, and suggest that when it comes to investing, there's no place like home.

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April 29, 2024

It's best to hold your political nose when investing. Plus Federal Reserve policy still appears stimulative, and our more constructive portfolio posture reflects a strengthening fundamentals backdrop, the effect of tighter financial conditions and geopolitical shocks.

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April 22, 2024

The not-so-little bull that could… and still can. Plus what global monetary divergence means for the U.S. dollar—and for U.S. investors, and stress points as geopolitical events unfold include risks to oil prices, the runup in gold and a spike in volatility measures.

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